Thursday, November 17, 2011

Week 11 trends and tips

New York Jets at Denver

The Jets are 4-5 vs. the spread, including 1-3 on the road. ... New York has covered its last four games against AFC West teams, including playoffs, and has covered three of its previous four road contests sandwiched between two home games. ... The Jets have covered five of their last six times after failing to cover a home game and have covered five of their previous six regular-season contests after facing the Patriots. ... New York has failed to cover its last four night games and has failed to cover its previous four contests prior to hosting the Bills. ... The Broncos are 4-5 against the number, including 0-4 at home. ... Denver has covered three of its last four games but has failed to cover its previous five times after holding its prior opponent to 17 points or fewer. ... The Broncos have failed to cover their last five home games and have covered two of their previous 11 home contests sandwiched between two road games. ... Denver has failed to cover its previous six times after facing the Chiefs and has failed to cover its last four home games prior to consecutive road contests. ... The Broncos' previous five, and nine of their last 10, home games have gone over the total.

Cincinnati at Baltimore

The Bengals are 7-2 against the spread, including 5-0 on the road. ... Cincinnati has covered its last six road games and has covered its previous four, and six of its last seven, times as a dog of five points or more. ... The Bengals have covered the previous four meetings overall and have covered five of the last seven meetings on the road. ... Cincinnati has covered its previous three contests following a non cover but has covered one of its last four games prior to hosting the Browns. ... Seven of the Bengals' previous nine contests have gone over the total. ... The Ravens are 5-4 vs. the number, including 3-1 at home. ... Baltimore has covered one of its last four games and has covered two of its previous seven times prior to a night game. ... The Ravens have covered two of their last nine games as a favorite of more than seven points but have covered their previous six times as a favorite of less than six points. ... Baltimore has covered three of its last four regular-season games vs. AFC North rivals and has covered six of its previous eight times following a non cover, including playoffs. ... The Ravens' last three games have gone over the total.

Dallas at Washington

The Cowboys are 4-4-1 vs. the spread, including 2-1-1 on the road. ... Dallas has failed to cover its last four games against NFC East foes and has covered one of its previous four road contests vs. NFC East squads. ... The Cowboys have covered three of the last 13 meetings, including covered one of the previous five meetings on the road. ... Dallas are 0-4-1 against the number in their last five games on grass and are 1-7-1 against the spread in their previous nine contests as a road favorite. ... The Redskins are 3-6 vs. the number, including 1-3 at home. ... Washington has failed to cover its last five games and has failed to cover its previous three home contests. ... The Redskins are 0-4-1 vs. the spread in their last five home games sandwiched between two road contests and are 1-7-4 against the number in their previous 12 games after being held to 14 points or fewer in their prior outing. ... Washington has covered six of its last eight times as a dog of more than five points, and six of its previous seven, and 12 of its last 15, games have stayed under the total.

Buffalo at Miami

The Bills are 5-4 against the spread, including 2-2 on the road. ... Buffalo has covered five of its last six games on grass and has covered its previous five times while playing the second of consecutive road contests. ... The Bills have covered their last five, and seven of their previous eight, games following consecutive non covers but have failed to cover their last three times prior to facing the Jets on the road. ... Buffalo's previous five road contests have gone over the total. ... The Dolphins are 3-6 vs. the number, including 1-3 at home. ... Miami has covered its last three games but has failed to cover its previous four times following three consecutive covers. ... The Dolphins have covered one of their previous five contests as a favorite of three points or fewer and have covered one of their last seven times while playing the second of consecutive home contests. ... Miami has covered one of its last seven games against AFC East rivals and has failed to cover its previous four home contests vs. AFC East foes. The Dolphins are 6-17-1 vs. the spread in their last 24 home games against AFC East teams. ... Miami's previous eight contests have stayed under the total.

Tennessee at Atlanta

The Titans are 4-5 against the number, including 2-2 on the road. ... Tennessee has covered six of its last seven road games against NFC squads and has covered nine of its previous 11 contests vs. NFC South opponents. ... The Titans have covered their last three games on artificial turf but have covered one of their previous five times following a cover. ... Tennessee has covered one of its last seven games after holding its previous foe to 14 points or fewer and has covered one of its previous eight contests following a double-digit win. ... The Titans' last three games have stayed under the total. ... The Falcons are 4-5 against the spread, including 2-2 at home. ... Atlanta has covered its last four home games against AFC teams and has covered 10 of its previous 13 contests overall vs. AFC foes. ... The Falcons have covered seven of their last eight games following a straight-up loss and have covered their previous four times after failing to cover a home contest. ... Atlanta's last five games have stayed under the total.

Oakland at Minnesota

The Raiders are 5-3-1 vs. the number, including 4-0 on the road. ... Oakland has covered its last five road games and has covered six of its previous seven times as a dog. ... The Raiders have covered five of their previous seven contests following a night game but has covered one of its last 10 outings after facing the Chargers. ... Oakland has failed to cover previous four road contests vs. NFC North opponents and has failed to cover its last five, and seven of its previous eight, games overall against NFC North teams. ... Five of the Raiders' last six contests have stayed under the total. ... The Vikings are 4-4-1 vs. the spread, including 2-1-1 at home. ... Minnesota is 2-7-1 against the number its last 10 times following consecutive road games and is 1-3-1 against the spread in its previous five contests following a game at Green Bay. ... The Vikings are 3-1-1 vs. the number overall after facing the Packers and have covered seven of their last 11 home contests sandwiched between two road games. ... Minnesota has covered its last four home games against AFC West squads, and three of its previous four contests have gone over the total.

Jacksonville at Cleveland

The Jaguars are 4-4-1 vs. the spread, including 2-2-1 on the road. ... Jacksonville is 3-0-1 against the number in its last four games and has covered its previous five times as a favorite of four points or fewer. ... The Jaguars have covered three of their last four games against AFC North foes and have covered four of their previous five outings prior to hosting the Texans. ... Jacksonville has covered its last four games following a road cover, and eight of its nine contests have stayed under the total. ... The Browns are 2-5-2 against the spread, including 1-3-1 at home. ... Cleveland is 0-4-2 vs. the number in its last six games and is 3-12-2 vs. the spread in its previous 17 contests. ... The Browns are 1-7-1 against the number in their last nine home games and have failed to cover their previous four times while playing the second of consecutive home contests. ... Cleveland has covered one of its last seven games against AFC South opponents and has covered two of its previous eight contests prior to a game at Cincinnati. ... The Browns' last five games have stayed under the total.

Carolina at Detroit

The Panthers are 5-3-1 against the spread, including 1-1-1 on the road. ... Carolina has covered one of its last four games and has failed to cover its previous four contests on artificial turf. ... The Panthers have covered two of their last six times while playing the first of consecutive road games but are 3-0-1 vs. the number as a dog of more than six points. ... Three of Carolina's previous four contests have stayed under the total. ... The Lions are 5-3-1 vs. the spread, including 2-2 at home. ... Detroit has covered one of its last four games and has covered two of its previous seven home contests vs. NFC south opponents. ... The Lions have covered six of their last eight times following a game at Chicago and have covered four of their previous five outings following consecutive road contests. ... Five of Detroit's previous six home games have stayed under the total.

Tampa Bay at Green Bay

The Buccaneers are 3-6 against the number, including 1-3 away from home. ... Tampa Bay has covered one of its last six games and has covered one of its previous four contests vs. NFC North squads. ... The Buccaneers have covered their last three times as a dog of 10 points or more and have covered five of the previous seven meetings. ... Tampa Bay has covered its last five times while playing the first of consecutive road game and has covered its previous five contests after surrendering more than 31 points in its previous outing. ... Six of the Buccaneers' last eight games away from home have stayed under the total. ... The Packers are 7-2 against the spread, including 4-0 at home. ... Green Bay is 12-3-1 vs. the number in its last 16 games and has covered 18 of its previous 23 contests overall, including playoffs. ... The Packers are 8-2-1 vs. the spread in its previous 11 contests prior to consecutive road games and have covered three of their last four contests vs. NFC South foes, including playoffs. ... Green Bay has covered four of its previous five contests after hosting the Vikings, and its previous three contests have gone over the total.

Seattle at St. Louis

The Seahawks are 5-3-1 against the number, including 2-2-1 on the road. ... Seattle is 2-0-1 against the spread in its last three road games and has covered seven of the previous eight meetings. ... The Seahawks have covered seven of their last 10 games against NFC West rivals but have covered two of their previous eight road contests vs. NFC West squads. ... Three of Seattle's last four road games have stayed under the total. ... The Rams are 2-7 vs. the number, including 1-3 at home. ... St. Louis has covered two of its last three games but has covered one of its previous five times following a cover. ... The Rams have covered two of their last 11 times while playing the first of consecutive home contests and have covered one of their last five games on artificial turf following a contest on grass. ... St. Louis has covered nine of its previous 10 contests following a straight-up win as a dog and has covered its last six outings prior to facing the Cardinals. ... Five of the Rams' previous six contests have stayed under the total.

Arizona at San Francisco

The Cardinals are 4-4-1 vs. the spread, including 3-2 on the road. ... Arizona has covered its last three games and has covered all three of its contests as a dog of more than four points. ... The Cardinals have covered seven of their last eight times prior to a game at St. Louis but have failed to cover the previous five meetings. ... Arizona has covered one of its last six road games against NFC West rivals and is 2-6-1 against the number its previous nine times while playing the second of consecutive road games. ... Four of the Cardinals' last five road games have stayed under the total. ... The 49ers are 8-0-1 against the spread, including 4-0-1 at home. ... San Francisco is 9-0-1 vs. the number in its last 10 games and is 6-0-1 vs. the spread in its previous seven home contests. ... The 49ers have covered four of their previous five contests against NFC West foes and have covered seven of their last eight home games vs. NFC West rivals. ... San Francisco has covered its previous eight contests as a favorite but has failed to cover its last eight times prior to a night game.

San Diego at Chicago

The Chargers are 2-7 against the number, including 1-3 on the road. ... San Diego has failed to cover its last four games and has covered one of its previous five contests against NFC North teams. ... The Chargers have covered two of their last seven times following consecutive home game and have failed to cover their previous five times after surrendering 23 points or more in their previous outing. ... San Diego has covered three of its last four games after hosting the Raiders. ... The Bears are 5-4 against the spread, including 3-2 at home. ... Chicago has covered its last four games and has covered four of its previous five home contests vs. AFC opponents. ... The Bears are 11-3-1 vs. the number in their last 15 games against AFC West foes but are 0-6-1 vs. the spread their previous seven times while playing the second of consecutive home contests. ... Three of Chicago's last four games have gone over the total, and seven of its previous eight regular-season home contests have gone over the total.

Philadelphia at New York Giants

The Eagles are 3-6 against the number, including 2-2 on the road. ... Philadelphia has covered the last six meetings, including playoffs, and has covered six of its previous seven contests vs. NFC East rivals. ... The Eagles have covered five of their last seven road games against NFC East foes and have covered three of their previous four times as a dog. ... Philadelphia has covered two of its last eight games on artificial turf, including playoffs, and has covered one of its previous five night contests. ... Three of the Eagles' last four games have stayed under the total. ... The Giants are 4-5 against the spread, including 1-3 at home. ... New York has covered one of its last five games and has failed to cover its previous three home contests. ... The Giants have covered two of their last eight times as a favorite and have covered two of their previous seven home contests against NFC East rivals. ... New York has covered one of its last five home games following consecutive road contests but has covered four of its previous five night games.

Kansas City at New England

The Chiefs are 5-4 vs. the number, including 3-1 on the road. ... Kansas City has covered its last three road games and has covered 11 of its previous 13 contests as a dog of more than 10 points. ... The Chiefs have covered five of their last seven road games sandwiched between two home contests and has covered four of its previous five times following consecutive non covers. ... Kansas City has covered six of its last seven night games and has covered six of its previous seven night contests on the road. ... The Chiefs have failed to cover their last six games against AFC East teams and have covered one of their previous eight contests after failing to cover a home game. ... Six of Kansas City's last seven games have stayed under the total. ... The Patriots are 5-4 vs. the spread, including 2-2 at home. ... New England has covered nine of its last 11 night games and has covered five of its previous six contests vs. AFC West squads. ... The Patriots have covered three of their last four regular-season home games against AFC West foes and have covered four of their previous five times following consecutive road contests. ... New England has covered five of its last seven regular-season games following a double-digit win but has covered one of their previous four contests after facing the Jets.     

Source: http://www.profootballweekly.com/2011/11/17/week-11-trends-and-tips-3

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